Home > Armageddon > Armageddon – Episode 4

Armageddon – Episode 4

So it’s the 21st and that means another End of the World post.

Ive been struggling with this one, whilst I thought this was a cool quirky idea when I first started it, there really only so many “believable” scenarios.

Despite extensive searching of the internet Short of writing about Alien Invasions or a Zombie Apocalypse things are starting to dry up. Im already dreading next month’s instalment, anyways onto this month’s scenario.

Global Pandemic

In recent years we have had a number of scares in this department, Swine Flu and Avian Flu featured heavily in the news and whilst they ultimately seemed to be over reactions, the possibility and the fear involved with it seems to be very real.

There are many forms of illness that could potentially cause such an occurrence but it seems the Flu to me at least, seems to be the most likely culprit.

Personally what I think makes it so dangerous is that the initial symptoms are so commonplace, realistically how many people are even going to pop to the pharmacist let alone the doctors for a runny nose and fever.

There is also the fact that even the “common” flu evolves very quickly, hence the need for people to get a new shot each year.

As it stands the bog standard normal Flu kills between ¼ and ½ a million people each year, albeit normally people already suffering from another medical complication or those susceptible to most illnesses such as the elderly or very young.

A new Flu pandemic occurs roughly 3 times a century; the last recognised one being in 2009, although only 18000 fatalities were reported, a massive drop from the ¾ million in 1968-69. Obviously this is largely due to modern medicine and the ability to treat secondary infections which has most likely reduced the toll dramatically.

The most deadly Flu pandemic in recorded history was the Spanish Flu of 1918-1920 which killed somewhere between 2 %and 5% of the world’s population. It’s believed that as many as 25 million people died in the first 25 weeks of the pandemic, the same amount of people that HIV/AIDS has killed in the first 25 years of its existence.

This was truly global pandemic hitting places as far away as the Arctic and remote pacific islands, and this was in a day and age when it took you months at least, to get from one continent to another.

Whilst medicine has clearly come on leaps and bounds and the likely hood is that even in the event of a pandemic we would survive, a recent study suggests that even with all this in mind if a strain as virulent as the Spanish Flu was to emerge today it would still kill between 50 and 80 million people.

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  1. June 27, 2012 at 5:44 pm

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